Nashville sit top of the Eastern Conference and are unbeaten at home with a record of 5 wins and 1 draw. Although New York City FC are not high in the standings, the key variable in this match is their squad situation — the visitors have six players out injured, and their midfield and attack have almost been completely reshuffled. Under normal circumstances, a home side facing such an injury crisis would be expected to be priced much shorter, but instead the line has moved back, which shows the bookmakers have little confidence in Nashville winning by a big margin.
The head-to-head record is also interesting. New York City FC have never lost the handicap away at Nashville, and in their four trips there they have taken points three times. No matter how strong Nashville are at home, they seem to struggle to play freely against this opponent.
This match should not be easy for Nashville to win, and New York City FC are likely to take something from the game on the road.
Asian handicap recommendation: New York City FC +0.75.