San Diego have managed just one win in their last 10 matches, with a dismal win rate. Although they have been a bit more solid at home, their ability to turn performances into victories remains clearly lacking. Cincinnati have gone 5 wins and 1 push against the spread in their last six games, boasting an excellent cover rate and strong resistance under pressure on the road. Both teams’ attacking form has been unstable recently, which further increases the difficulty for the hosts to claim victory. This match is more likely to become a tight, cagey battle, leaving plenty of room for the away side to cover.
Taking the handicap structure and recent trend into account, the away team’s performance in this match looks more worth backing.