In this Brazil Serie B matchup, the movement in the Asian handicap odds has sent an unfavorable signal for the home side, and Novorizontino’s unbeaten run is worth backing. In the opening stage, several bookmakers offered the home team at level ball to half-ball, with the home odds concentrated in the medium-to-low range of 0.80 to 0.94. But as the match approached, the home odds surged across the board. Many bookmakers lifted the price from around 0.94 in the opening line to an extremely high 1.05 to 1.09, while some even moved from 0.77 to 0.99. The away odds, meanwhile, were pushed down from the initial 0.78 to 0.95 range to a lower 0.78 to 0.83. The home side’s sharp rise in odds and the away side’s continued drop show synchronized adjustments by the bookmakers, indicating that the market’s confidence in a home win is weakening. The fundamentals also support this view. Although the home team has an excellent record at home, its main striker Wellington is out with a torn knee ligament, which will significantly reduce the threat of its attack. The away side has drawn nearly half of its matches after 11 rounds this season, showing strong unbeaten ability. On the road, it has drawn four and lost only one of six matches, demonstrating great resilience. In the last four meetings between the two sides, each has won twice, so the visitors are not at a psychological disadvantage in the head-to-head. With the home team troubled by injuries up front and the away side’s steady away form proving reliable, the away unbeaten option is the one to follow.