My personal focus for this Round of 32 clash between the Netherlands and Morocco is under 2.25 total goals. This is not a definitive conclusion, just a probability judgment based on a set of data points. In terms of motivation, the knockout-stage context usually pushes both sides to prioritize avoiding mistakes first. The Netherlands need to control the tempo, while Morocco are adept at turning matches into low-possession, low-event battles—Achraf's pace on the flank provides the outlet for counterattacks, but the overall shape is unlikely to push too far forward. There are several reference points on the data side. Morocco have conceded just 2 goals in 4 matches at this tournament, with a well-organized defensive structure, while midfielder Amrabat's interceptions and coverage have offered the back line strong protection. The Netherlands scored 8 goals in the group stage, which looks impressive on the surface, but half of them came from set pieces, and their efficiency in open play against compact defenses has been inconsistent. Recent international goal patterns for both teams have also been cautious—7 of Morocco's last 10 matches have finished under 2.5 total goals, while the Netherlands have also had 5 matches in the same period that went under 2.5. The bookmakers' line has dropped from an opening 2.5 to 2.25, and market expectations are also shifting in a more conservative direction.