Match: Supercopa de España Final
Fixture: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Local Kick-off Time: 22:00, 11th January 2026 (10:00 p.m.)
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Prediction: Barcelona to Win or Draw (within 90 minutes)
It has been confirmed that Mbappé will fly across the ocean to Saudi Arabia to join the team, which is excellent news for Real Madrid. Mbappé’s pace and attacking threat will inject greater dynamism into Real Madrid’s frontline. Barcelona put on a dominant display in their last match, leading Athletic Bilbao 4-0 by half-time, and their form has gone from strength to strength after the winter break. It is no surprise that in the Asian Handicap, Barcelona is given a slight -0.25 goal line. Playing on a neutral venue, and with Real Madrid missing Rüdiger, Barcelona is expected to create a flurry of attacking opportunities. We are backing Barcelona to remain unbeaten.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Barcelona:
Barcelona tops La Liga this season with an impressive record of 16 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, boasting formidable attacking firepower with an average of 2.69 goals per game in their last 20 matches. However, a notable concern lingers: since selling left centre-back Iñigo Martínez in the final days of the summer transfer window, the club has struggled to find a reliable replacement. Although Hansi Flick promoted Gerard Martín to this position in December with decent results, it remains uncertain whether he can hold his own against top-tier opposition in high-stakes clashes.
In terms of squad availability, Gavi and Andreas Christensen will miss this match. Barcelona is likely to stick with their high-pressing 4-2-3-1 formation. Lamine Yamal is expected to replace Bardghji, who started the last game. The defensive trio of Joan García, Cubarsí and Martín will be the key to Barcelona’s fortunes in this fixture.
Real Madrid:
Real Madrid sits second in La Liga with 14 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, four points adrift of league leaders Barcelona. While their total goals scored in the last 20 games are four fewer than Barcelona’s, their defensive record is far more solid, conceding seven goals less than the Blaugrana. However, there is a major defensive worry: Rüdiger sustained an injury that looked serious when he walked off the pitch in the last match. On the bright side, Marco Asensio is confirmed to be fit for the game. If Jesús Vallejo can make a timely return from injury, Real Madrid’s defensive line will remain relatively stable.
Real Madrid deployed an unconventional 4-2-3-1 formation in their last match, with Federico Valverde playing as right-back. He delivered a stunning long-range strike and provided an assist for Rodrygo’s second goal, turning in an outstanding performance. That said, Real Madrid’s overall attacking quality was rather mediocre—they recorded 14 fewer shots than Atlético Madrid, but their clinical finishing in front of goal proved decisive.
Final Prediction
Asian Handicap: Barcelona -0.25
European Handicap: Barcelona Win
Predicted Scores: 2-1, 2-2, 3-2
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
