The market currently sets a 2.25 total goals line, with strong resistance to the over. From a professional handicapper’s perspective, opening matches tend to favor defensive caution. The United States have home advantage, but they often struggle to turn possession into clear-cut chances when forced into static, horizontal circulation against compact defensive structures. Paraguay are expected to deploy their trademark low-block system under Alfaro, closing down vertical passing lanes to frustrate the hosts. With the visitors fully prioritizing defensive containment and shutting off transitional pace, clear scoring chances are likely to be scarce. Given the pragmatic nature of group openers, a low-scoring tactical stalemate remains the most analytical choice. Recommended Direction: Under 2.25 Goals