This international friendly between Greece and Italy leans toward a home win based on the core stats, though it is far from a guaranteed result. Greece boast a strong home record, having won 6 of their last 10 home matches, and their defensive solidity makes them difficult to break down on home soil. They have shown they can compete with top European sides, recently beating Scotland 3-2, and drawing with Sweden and Hungary in their last two games. Italy, meanwhile, have been inconsistent in away friendlies, often making changes to their squad. That said, there is still risk: Italy are the European champions, with a much stronger overall squad, and they have won 7 of their last 10 away games. This makes the home selection a high-probability, but not certain, pick.