Subotica have lost all of their last 10 matches, and in the relegation group they have conceded 15 goals in 6 games, an average of 2.5 per match. Their defense no longer shows any real resistance. Radnicki are top of the relegation group with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and they average 1.53 goals at home. Against an opponent in complete collapse, they have the conditions to score at least 2 goals. Data Support Subotica have seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, with 8 of those games producing 3 goals or more in total. Radnicki have had over 2.5 total goals in 5 of their last 10 home matches, while 2 of their 3 home games in the relegation group have finished with at least 3 total goals. In the first meeting between the two sides this season, Subotica won 2-0, but at that time the away side had not yet completely fallen apart. Subotica are now missing their starting left-back, which has further weakened their defense. In the odds market, mainstream bookmakers have opened at 2.5/3 goals with low water, and some have already moved to 3 goals, showing a clear intent to guard against the over. Expected Match Trend Radnicki need points to consolidate their place at the top of the relegation group, so they will not be cautious at home. Subotica are under no pressure and have a loose back line; when trailing, they still tend to push forward, as shown by their two goals against Red Star Belgrade, which increases the chance of both teams scoring. Overall, the probability of at least 3 total goals in this match is very high, and the over is worth following.