In Premier League Round 37, Bournemouth host Manchester City. This is a clash between sixth and second in the table, and also a crucial match in the title race run-in. Judging by the movement in the goals line, the market’s expectation for the total number of goals in this match has shown some signs of tightening. The home side Bournemouth have been relatively solid defensively of late, conceding only six goals in their last six league matches, averaging one per game, and keeping three clean sheets. Against a Manchester City side with superb possession ability, Bournemouth are likely to adopt a deep defensive approach, compressing space at the back and limiting the opponent’s attacking depth. Such a tactical setup is usually unfavorable for a high-scoring game. Although the away side Manchester City boast the strongest attacking power in the Premier League, their away scoring efficiency has dipped recently, averaging 1.67 goals in their last six away matches, below their season average of 1.89. In addition, City had just played the FA Cup final in midweek, leaving them at a relative disadvantage in terms of physical reserves. Their pressing intensity and transition speed in attack could therefore be affected to some extent. In the over/under market, bookmakers have generally set the benchmark at 3/3.5 goals. It is worth noting that in the closing stages, the odds for the over have generally risen from the 0.86-0.96 range to a high level of 0.93-0.98, while the odds for the under have correspondingly fallen to 0.92-0.94. Some companies, such as 18 and Hong Kong Horse, have kept the line at 3 or 3.5 goals, with the over priced above 1.00. This movement suggests that the bookmakers are somewhat cautious about the over landing. Taking into account both teams’ recent defensive data, the visitors’ physical condition, and the movement in the odds, the total number of goals in this match may not exceed three.