The data movement in this Ligue 2 match is worth noting. Major European bookmakers opened at 3.25 goals, with the over priced at 0.84, a low line. Asian bookmakers were also low. But the in-play line changed — most bookmakers dropped from 3.25 to 2.75, while the over price climbed above 1.00. That is a half-point line drop, along with a higher price on the over. Saint-Étienne have a 70% over rate at home, and recently beat Amiens 5-0 and Annecy 4-0 at home. Rodez are unbeaten in their last 10 matches and have an 80% Asian handicap cover rate away from home. On form and fundamentals, the over looks favorable. But the in-play line drop is at odds with the low-opening-price signal. In this kind of situation, I would not ignore either side, and I favor the over to land.