For this Danish 1st Division game, start with the numbers — Kolding have gone over 70% for unders in their last six matches, and at home they average fewer than one goal per game. Their attacking creativity is about on par with my cooking: plenty of ideas, but no execution. Lyngby are the league leaders and have the best attack in the division, but today the major European bookmakers opened at 3 goals, with the over price pushed up to 0.97. Asian bookmakers moved in the same direction. When the over is high-priced on a 3-goal line, the message is very clear — the books don’t really believe this will be a high-scoring night. Kolding have seven players out injured, including four in midfield and attack. When they can barely even put together the players who can shoot, how is this supposed to go over?