The home side have won 13 of their 23 home matches this season, a 56% win rate, and have scored 45 home goals, giving them one of the strongest attacks in League Two. Grimsby have 10 wins and 8 draws away from home, so their unbeaten rate is decent, but they have managed only 33 away goals, with their firepower cut in half on the road. The opening line had Salford City giving a half-ball, and more than ten bookmakers were aligned on both the direction and the odds. A half-ball line is not deep, and with medium odds the home side are neither overhyped nor ignored, while the bookmakers have not offered the visitors any advantage. Grimsby’s recent run of four wins and two draws in their last six looks more impressive on the surface, but four of those wins came at home. Salford City have three wins, one draw and two losses in their last six, nothing flashy but solid. Backing the home side to take points is more in line with reality.