This match is a Round 13 clash in Brazil's Serie B, and based on both teams' recent attacking efficiency and the movement of the betting line, the total goals are unlikely to exceed 2.
First, there is the sluggish attacking performance of Atletico Goianiense. After 12 matches this season, Atletico Goianiense have scored only 12 goals, averaging 1 goal per game, with their attacking efficiency ranking in the lower half of the league. In their last six matches, they have scored just 5 goals, averaging under 1 goal per game, and their frontline has been seriously lacking in firepower. At home, the team have scored 6 goals in 6 matches, also averaging 1 goal per game, so there has been no clear attacking advantage on home soil.
Second, CRB's goal-scoring ability away from home is limited. Although CRB have a relatively high overall over rate, they have scored only 8 goals in 6 away matches, averaging 1.33 goals per game, so their away attacking efficiency is not particularly outstanding. Their recent away defense has improved, conceding just 3 goals in their last 3 away matches, and their defensive stability has increased.
Historically, although the over rate in this matchup is as high as 80%, most of those high-scoring games have come at CRB's home ground. At Atletico Goianiense's home ground, two of the last four meetings between the sides have gone under, with most results taking the form of low-scoring scorelines such as 1-0 and 2-1.
From a betting line perspective, mainstream bookmakers have opened the goals line at only 2/2.5, while the over price is generally in the relatively high range of 0.86-1.00. This clearly shows that the market has limited confidence in the over. In Brazil's Serie B, a 2/2.5 line is already on the low side, and paired with relatively high odds, it further weakens the case for the over.
Overall, Atletico Goianiense are struggling to score, CRB's away goals are limited, and the shallow opening line with high odds is unfavorable for the over. This match is expected to finish with no more than 2 total goals.