In the final round of Serie A, Lazio will host already-relegated Pisa. On paper, this is a hugely uneven matchup — Lazio average 1.39 goals per home game, while Pisa concede 2.39 goals per away game, with a defense that has been effectively nonexistent. Pisa’s away record this season stands at 18 matches, 0 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 43, showing they have offered little resistance on the road. The over/under line remains at 2.5/3 goals, while the over price has risen from the 0.83-0.89 range to a high of 0.96-1.03. At first glance, the higher price appears unfavorable to the over, but considering the fundamentals, Pisa have lost their last six matches in a row and conceded 14 goals in that spell. Lazio, although not highly efficient in attack recently, are fully capable of producing a big scoreline against bottom-placed Pisa. The two sides played out a dull 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but that match was at Pisa’s home ground, when they still had survival hopes. Now Pisa have already been relegated, motivation is low, and their away defense is even more fragile. For Lazio’s final home match of the season, there is no reason to hold back. Overall verdict: There is a massive gap in quality, and the visitors’ back line is on the verge of collapse. There is a strong chance this match will produce at least 3 goals. Over/under recommendation: Over 2.5/3 goals. Score prediction: 3-0, 2-1.