Willem II have scored 25 goals in 19 home matches this season, averaging 1.32 per game. Their attacking output is not explosive, but it has been steady. In 6 of their last 10 home matches, the total goals reached 3 or more, giving them a 60% home over rate. Against Volendam, who prefer to push forward aggressively, Willem II should have more space to counterattack. For Volendam, the situation away from home is troubling: they have conceded 32 goals in 17 away matches, an average of 1.88 per game, making their away defense a major weakness. After losing the first leg 1-0 at home, they have no room to back off in the second leg and must attack. Volendam’s away attack is not harmless either — they have scored 11 goals in 17 matches, averaging 0.65 per game. Although the efficiency is not high, once they abandon a cautious approach and commit numbers forward, their chances of scoring rise significantly. The movement in the over/under line also reflects this. The opening line from bookmakers was a mix of 2.5/3 goals and 3 goals, but by the close most had settled at 2.5/3 goals. The price for the over moved up from the 0.78-0.86 range to 0.89-0.96, while the under price dropped accordingly. It is worth noting that some companies, such as Crown, Mingsheng and 12bet, lowered the line from 3 goals to 2.5/3 goals, yet the over price did not surge with it; instead, it remained at a mid-to-low level. This kind of "line drop without an over price increase" usually means the bookmakers are deliberately suppressing the expected payout on the over, rather than truly downgrading its chances. In the head-to-head record, the over rate in the last 10 meetings between the two sides is only 25%, but the last two meetings at Willem II’s home ground both went over, finishing 3-0 and 2-1. The goal trend in their matches at this venue is clearly rising. Overall, Willem II have been consistent at home, Volendam are vulnerable defensively away from home, and with the second leg forcing the visitors to push forward, the tempo is likely to be much faster than in the first leg. The 2.5/3-goal line is not high, and both teams have enough conditions to reach it or even go beyond it. Back at least 3 total goals. Predicted scores: 2-2, 1-2.