Sagamihara are fourth in the standings, with 8 home matches producing 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, a 50% win rate. They average 2 goals per home game, and their attack is above average in J2. However, over their last six matches they have gone unbeaten with 4 wins and 2 draws, but four of those games were away from home. Their most recent home match ended in a 0-3 defeat to Sendai, so their home form has been somewhat inconsistent.
Vanraure Hachinohe are tenth, with 8 away matches yielding 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, a 37.5% win rate, which is nothing impressive. But they have scored 9 goals and conceded 9 on the road, leaving them with a goal difference of zero, so their away attack and defense are fairly balanced. They recently beat Tochigi City 4-2 away and drew 2-2 with Kitakyushu, making it two straight unbeaten away matches, and their form is trending upward.
In the most recent two head-to-head meetings, Vanraure Hachinohe are unbeaten with one draw and one win. In the first meeting this season, they drew 2-2 at home with Sagamihara.
With the handicap set at level ball, the away side is available at low odds. In this kind of line, money is leaning toward the home side. The market’s stance is that it would rather offer the away side slightly less return. Sagamihara’s home advantage has not been reflected in the odds, and the bookmakers are not buying it. So I’ll follow the market and back the away side to take a point.