Colombia topped Group K unbeaten with two wins and one draw, conceding just one goal in three matches and showing strong tactical discipline at the back. In midfield, Lerma’s interceptions and ball-winning work protect the defense, while James Rodríguez’s vision and passing help organize the attack. On the left, Luis Díaz’s dribbling success rate on the wing is above 60%, making him the team’s key weapon for breaking down opposition defenses. Colombia’s scoring options include positional build-up play, overlapping full-backs, and set-piece chances, giving them plenty of variety. In the final group match against Portugal, they rotated half of their starters, allowing key players to recover fully and maintain sustained attacking pressure for 90 minutes. Ghana advanced as the best third-placed team, edging through with a resilient 5-4-1 low-block defensive system. They even kept a clean sheet against England in the group stage, which highlights their strong defensive execution. However, the team has a clear weakness in attack. With key attacker Kudus sidelined by injury, their ability to create chances from open play has dropped sharply. Across three group matches, they scored only two goals, with most of their output coming from counterattacks and set pieces. Stamina is also an issue: under high-intensity defending, their concentration tends to drop after the 65th minute, and they are prone to defensive lapses when facing sustained pressure. Overall, Colombia are more likely to win and also have the ability to gradually widen the margin. Ghana’s defensive resilience may help keep the scoreline close, but it is difficult for them to hold the 1.5-goal handicap for the full match. The home side therefore has a reasonable edge in the handicap direction.