In this Brazilian Serie B match, Ponte Preta host Novorizontino. The home side are deep in the relegation zone, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, with the league’s worst attacking efficiency. In their bid to pick up points, they are likely to sit deep and defend conservatively rather than push up and play an open game. The visitors are pragmatic and solid, conceding just 1 goal per game on average. Away from home, they are good at controlling the tempo and grinding out results, and rarely attack recklessly. Recent meetings between the two sides have mostly ended in low-scoring 0-1 or 1-1 results, with matches going over 2 total goals accounting for a relatively small share. Both teams will prioritize getting points, have little tolerance for mistakes, and the pace of transitions between attack and defense should be relatively slow. Of course, there is still a chance of multiple goals on the day, so it cannot be stated with certainty, but overall the under 2.25 looks more favorable.