In Premier League Round 37, Arsenal host Burnley. It is a clash between teams at opposite ends of the table, and also a battle between a side that must win and one that is hard to stop.
The home side Arsenal are currently top of the table, with 68 goals scored in 36 matches. At home, they have won 14, drawn 2 and lost 2 in 18 games, scoring 40 and conceding just 11, underlining the Emirates Stadium's dominance. Although the schedule has been packed recently and their form has fluctuated slightly, every point is crucial at this key stage of the title race. The visitors Burnley are mired in the relegation zone, with an away record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 13 defeats from 18 matches, having conceded 45 goals, and their defence has been virtually non-existent. They are winless in their last six league games, drawing one and losing five, with both morale and quality at a low ebb.
In terms of the squad, the hosts are without several defenders including Ben White and Timber, but their attacking line is intact, with Saka, Trossard and Gyokeres all in good form. The visitors, meanwhile, have several key absentees, including centre-back Beyer and midfielder Cullen, leaving both their defence and build-up play badly weakened.
On the betting front, bookmakers have generally set a deep handicap of two and a half goals, while the home side's odds have eased from an opening high to the 0.88-0.93 range, a clear sign of support. In the European odds market, Arsenal's win price is as low as 1.05-1.12, leaving little room for imagination about the visitors' chances.
On balance, Arsenal hold a crushing advantage in terms of quality, home strength and title-race motivation, while Burnley are unlikely to pose any real threat away from home.