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FA Cup Third Round: Derby County vs Leeds United Pro Prediction & Betting Tips

ScoreSeer Sam

Match: FA Cup

Fixture: Derby County vs Leeds United

Local Kick-off Time: 12:00, 11th January 2026 (12:00 p.m.)

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Prediction: Leeds United to Win or Draw (within 90 minutes)

In the Asian Handicap, Leeds United is given a -0.75 goal line, which is slightly low for a Premier League side facing a Championship opponent. Although Leeds suffered a late defeat to Newcastle United in midweek, they are in excellent form at present, and the cup competition is definitely one of their targets. Leeds is highly likely to secure a narrow away win in this match, but a draw is also a possible outcome.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis

Derby County:

Derby County currently ranks 13th in the Championship with 9 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses, a rather mediocre record. The team’s defense is poor, having conceded 35 goals so far this season, with a win rate of only 34%. Their home win rate is even lower at 28%, worse than their away win rate, meaning that playing at home is not necessarily an advantage for Derby County in this match. The most likely strategy for Derby County in this game is to leverage their aerial advantage and sit deep to deny Leeds United any attacking space.

Leeds United:

Leeds United put in a stunning performance in December that sent shockwaves through the Premier League, picking up points against the likes of Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United. Their top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been in sensational form, scoring 6 goals in 7 matches. Leeds have now pulled clear of the relegation zone, but their away win rate is a mere 9%. While this figure is very low, this match presents a great opportunity for them to break their away slump. Since switching to a three-defender system, Leeds’ defense has become much tighter, allowing them to play more aggressively in attack.

Final Prediction

Asian Handicap: Leeds United -0.75

European Handicap: Away Win

Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-2

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.