Match: Serie A
Fixture: Inter Milan vs Napoli
Local Kick-off Time: 20:45, 11th January 2026 (8:45 p.m.)
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Prediction: Napoli to Win or Draw
In the first league meeting of the season, Napoli defeated Inter Milan 3-1 at home. As the defending Serie A champions, Napoli is given a +0.5/-1 handicap as the away side, which seems rather questionable. Napoli is currently plagued by injury problems, with Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and David Neres all ruled out of this match. Nevertheless, their first-choice lineup remains one of the strongest starting elevens in Serie A. Regardless of whether Inter Milan can win, it is highly unlikely that they will secure a victory by two goals. Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters between the two sides, the draw rate has reached an astonishing 60%. We are backing Napoli to remain unbeaten away from home.
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis
Inter Milan:
In their last match against Parma, Inter Milan rotated several key players, allowing the likes of Nicolò Barella, Marcus Thuram and Francesco Acerbi to get a much-needed rest. Inter tops Serie A this season with a record of 14 wins and 4 losses. However, a major concern is their poor record against top-five teams—they have only managed to beat Roma, losing all other matches against fellow title contenders. This lack of success against strong opposition is the biggest problem facing manager Cristian Chivu, as highlighted by their surprising defeat to Bologna in the Italian Super Cup.
Napoli:
Napoli currently sits 3rd in the league with 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. A win in this match would see them climb to the top of the table, making this one of the most crucial games of their season. Over the past month, Napoli has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in Serie A, while also lifting the Italian Super Cup trophy. Their record against top teams this season is impressive, with their only defeat coming against AC Milan. There is no doubt about Antonio Conte’s ability to manage the team in the league.
Final Prediction
Asian Handicap: Inter Milan -0.75
European Handicap: Inter Milan Win
Predicted Scores: 0-1, 1-1, 0-2
Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2
This content provides sports news and pre-match analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
